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                                                    LE MONDE DIPLOMATIQUE
     _________________________________________________________________
                          Le Monde diplomatique
                             english edition
                                July 1998
                       edited by Wendy Kristianasen
    LEADER
  Hope in Colombia *
      by Ignacio Ramonet
     Colombia, one of Latin America's oldest democracies, is still one
     of the region's most violent countries where guerrilla movements
     are hand in glove with drug traffickers. But the country's
     newly-elected conservative government may provide the catalyst
     for a new nation-wide drive for peace.
         http://www.monde-diplomatique.fr/md/en/1998/07/01edito.html
                                                Translated by Ed Emery
    ON THE BRINK OF WAR IN KOSOVO
  NATO at a loss
      by Alain Joxe
     After conducting aerial manoeuvres over Albania and Macedonia in
     mid-June, NATO is now considering whether to make good its
     threats of military intervention in Kosovo. The Atlantic Alliance
     was a creation of the cold war, and the internal disagreements
     among its members prove it is having a tough time formulating a
     consistent strategy for the new world order. The time has come
     for the countries of Europe to establish a continental system of
     preventive security independent of the United States.
                                            Translated by Barry Smerin
  Albania exposed
      by Chrisophe Chiclet
     The crisis in Kosovo has come at a bad time for Albania's
     socialist government which regained power a year ago: the
     troubles are being exploited by the anti-communist opposition and
     there is also the question of the Kosovar refugees. Prime
     Minister Fatos Nano has also failed to tackle the problems of law
     and order, economic recovery and democracy. And the government
     has come under fire even from within its own ranks on the issue
     of corruption.
                                            Translated by Barry Smerin
    BITTER FRUITS OF A MIRACLE
  When East Asia falters *
      by Philip S. Golub
     What would have seemed impossible a few years ago is now
     happening. Japan is faltering. According to Tony Blair, this is
     the greatest threat to the world economy for twenty years. The
     whole of East Asia is now being dragged into recession and
     financial turmoil which could engulf the entire world. The
     restructuring imposed by the West's neoliberal gurus has brought
     down Asia's economies - once praised to the skies - and is now
     destroying the cohesion of its societies.
        http://www.monde-diplomatique.fr/md/en/1998/07/04golub.html
                                       Translated by Malcolm Greenwood
    IN THE SHADOW OF GENERALS, HIRED KILLERS AND DRUG TRAFFICKERS
  Turkey's pivotal role in the international drug trade
      by Kendal Nezan
     In August 1998 General Ismail Hakki Karadayi comes to the end of
     his term as chief of staff of Turkey's armed forces. His five
     years in the post have been marked by the growing role played by
     military officers in all aspects of Turkey's political life -
     including the state-sponsored growth of mafia activities related
     to the drugs trade and the murder of opposition politicians and
     civil rights campaigners.
    ESCALATION OF VIOLENCE IN THE HORN OF AFRICA
  Ethiopia-Eritrea, an absurd war
      by Jean-Louis Péninou
  Background to the conflict *
     The war between Eritrea and Ethiopia, which by mid-June had
     claimed nearly a thousand lives, has taken everyone by surprise.
     It is not an ethnic, religious or tribal conflict or a power
     struggle but, rather, an old-fashioned border dispute. American
     attempts to mediate have been spectacularly unsuccessful and the
     situation is worrying neighbouring countries and destabilising
     the region.
         http://www.monde-diplomatique.fr/md/en/1998/07/07ethio2.html
                                              Translated by Lorna Dale
    POWER STRUGGLE IN KIVU
  Congolese flashpoint
      by Gérard Prunier
     Over a year after the overthrow of the dictatorship in Zaire, it
     is clear that the country (renamed Congo) is still facing many of
     the same problems. The most immediate is the threat of ethnic and
     military unrest in the two eastern provinces, North Kivu and
     South Kivu. These were the scene of the 1996 uprising that
     signalled the beginning of the end for President Mobutu. Despite
     all the speeches about conflict prevention, the crisis is not
     unexpected.
                                              Translated by Lorna Dale
    HALTING THE PROLIFERATION OF CHEMICAL AND BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS
  The spectre of bioterrorism *
      by Gilbert Achcar
  The great powers hang back
      by Bruno Barrillot
  Conventions and treaties *
     Despite the nuclear tests carried out by India and Pakistan,
     proliferation of nuclear weapons will remain relatively limited
     in years to come. States may however be tempted, particularly in
     areas of conflict, to develop other weapons of mass destruction,
     such as chemical and especially biological weapons, which are
     less costly and easier to conceal. The various international
     treaties do not provide adequate control measures: the greatest
     threat to our future is now "bioterrorism".
         http://www.monde-diplomatique.fr/md/en/1998/07/09bio1.html
         http://www.monde-diplomatique.fr/md/en/1998/07/11bio3.html
                                          Translated by Barbara Wilson
    THE TWO FACES OF THE TUNISIAN REGIME
  Women's rights, but only for some
      by Luiza Toscane and Olfa Lamloum
     With Algeria consumed by civil war and Morocco going through a
     difficult transition, Tunisia looks like a oasis of stability.
     Yet, in spite of appearances, General Ben Ali has been
     responsible for the systematic repression of Islamists. Speeches
     about women and reformist measures are an attempt to project an
     image of modernity and democracy abroad, but they hide another
     part of the picture.
                                        Translated by Francisca Garvie
    MIDDLE EAST BLUE GOLD
  Sharing out the region's water
      by Mohamed Sid-Ahmed
     Will the war for water be the next major conflict? As consumption
     increases and reserves fall dramatically, countries are having to
     re-evaluate their assets and future development in terms of their
     reserves of "blue gold", and apply contractual disciplines to the
     way in which rivers are shared out in a vast Middle Eastern
     market. However, there is scope for imaginative thinking in order
     to increase the supply of water - and, simultaneously, promote
     peace.
                                            Translated by Julie Stoker
    FROM WELFARE STATE TO PRISON STATE
  Imprisoning the American underclass *
  A boom in private penitentiaries
      by Loic Wacquant
     Prisons in the "free world" are full to bursting point, and
     fullest of all are US jails. Over the past twenty years
     preoccupation with the virtues of law and order has led to a
     toughening of penalties. Worst hit have been those excluded from
     the "American dream". The US is constantly tightening its social
     welfare budget, but its generosity knows no bounds when it comes
     to controlling and incarcerating those whom it has deigned
     neither to educate and care for, nor provide with housing and an
     adequate diet.
         http://www.monde-diplomatique.fr/md/en/1998/07/14prison.html
                                            Translated by Julie Stoker
    GROWING IMPATIENCE WITH THE STALEMATE IN THE PEACE PROCESS
  How Europe could put pressure on Israel
      by Isabelle Avran
     Flying in the face of international criticism, on 21 June the
     Israeli government sanctioned a plan which is a de facto
     enlargement of the municipality of Jerusalem to reach Israeli
     localities situated to the west of the city and settlements in
     the West Bank. This decision marks a new stage in Israel's policy
     of annexation of the Holy City and totally violates both the
     spirit and the letter of the Oslo accords. Prime Minister
     Binyamin Netanyahu's intransigence is made possible by the
     apparent inability of the United States to exert meaningful
     pressure on its Israeli ally. It is now time for Europe to come
     to the aid of a peace process that is seriously under threat.
                                                Translated by Ed Emery
     (*) Star-marked articles are available to every reader. Other
     articles are available to paid subscribers only.
     Yearly subscription fee: 24 US $ (Institutions 48 US $).
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