ICG Email (by way of richard barbrook) on Wed, 7 Jun 2000 22:42:47 +0200 (CEST)


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C R I S I S W E B   N E W S
Wednesday, June 7, 2000

ICG SERBIA
-------------------------
ICG's report on Serbia's Grain Trade: Milosevic's Hidden Cash Crop,
first released on 2 May, is now available in a revised version dated 5
June 2000.
--> See http://www.crisisweb.org for the full report

The Serbian opposition - often derided as hopelessly weak and divided -
is capable of winning elections due later this year, but only if the
international community provides more effective and better targeted
support for local opposition figures willing to bury their differences
and adopt a common electoral list and policy platform.
A new ICG report,entitled Serbia's Embattled Opposition (30 May 2000),
examines the present state of the opposition and prospects for an
opposition victory at elections due later this year.
--> See http://www.crisisweb.org for the full report

-----------------
ICG KOSOVO
-----------------
As the first anniversary of the end of the Kosovo war approaches, the
divided city of Mitrovica has emerged as the linchpin of Kosovo's future
status. If the international community cannot re-establish Mitrovica as
a single city, Belgrade will be emboldened to continue its pressure to
partition Kosovo into ethnic Serbian and Albanian regions and efforts to
preserve a united Kosovo will fail.
A new ICG report, entitled Kosovo's Linchpin: Overcoming Division in
Mitrovica (31 May 2000), reviews the stand-off between Kosovo Serbs and
Albanians in this northern Kosovo city and identifies a package of
political, economic and military carrots and sticks that UNMIK and KFOR
can implement to help break Belgrade's control over Mitrovica.

--> See http://www.crisisweb.org for the full report

-----------------
ICG INDONESIA
-----------------
In its first report on Indonesia since the establishment of a field
presence there in March 2000, ICG concludes that while impressive
political progress has been made, the country's crisis is far from over.

The report, entitled Indonesia's Crisis: Chronic But Not Acute (31 May
2000), underscores the extraordinary political transition Indonesia has
experienced during the last two years - from a society long ruled by a
military-backed authoritarian leader to one in which an elected
government was installed through an open and largely democratic process.

The report goes on to describe the serious political, regional,
communal, legal and economic problems and challenges the country still
faces, and identifies in outline appropriate responses to them by the
international community.
--> See http://www.crisisweb.org for the full report

-----------------
ICG BOSNIA
-----------------
The return of refugees to areas where they are an ethnic minority is
crucial if Bosnia is to be re-established as a successful multiethnic
society and the effects of wartime ethnic cleansing are to be reversed.
The good news is that at last, after four and a half years, such returns
are sharply increasing. The bad news is that international aid to
support returnees is just not coming through: only 1 in 10 spontaneous
returnees look like receiving home reconstruction help this year, and
this will certainly discourage others coming back.
In a new report, entitled Bosnia's Refugee Logjam Breaks: Is the
International Community Ready? (31 May 2000), the International Crisis
Group (ICG) assesses the extent and character of this year's refugee
returns region by region. The report describes the scale of the present
funding shortfall and calls on the European Union, the United States and
other donors to step up support for refugee return this year. It also
urges the Bosnian government to implement long-overdue economic and
regulatory reforms to make it easier for returning refugees to support
themselves economically. And it contains a number of recommendations to
SFOR and NATO about how to improve protection for minority returnees.
--> See http://www.crisisweb.org for the full report

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